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Presidential address : will this policy work for you? Predicting effectiveness better : how philosophy helps.

Cartwright, N. (2012) 'Presidential address : will this policy work for you? Predicting effectiveness better : how philosophy helps.', Philosophy of science., 79 (5). pp. 973-989.

Abstract

There is a takeover movement fast gaining influence in development economics, a movement that demands that predictions about development outcomes be based on randomized controlled trials. The problem it takes up—of using evidence of efficacy from good studies to predict whether a policy will be effective if we implement it—is a general one, and affects us all. My discussion is the result of a long struggle to develop the right concepts to deal with the problem of warranting effectiveness predictions. Whether I have it right or not, these are questions of vast social importance that philosophers of science can, and should, help answer.

Item Type:Article
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Status:Peer-reviewed
Publisher Web site:http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/668041
Publisher statement:© 2012 by the Philosophy of Science Association. All rights reserved.
Date accepted:No date available
Date deposited:21 September 2015
Date of first online publication:December 2012
Date first made open access:No date available

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