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Exploring representativeness and reliability for late medieval earthquakes in Europe

Forlin, P.; Gerrard, C.M.; Petley, D.

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Authors

P. Forlin

D. Petley



Abstract

Seismic catalogues of past earthquakes have compiled a substantial amount of information about historical seismicity for Europe and the Mediterranean. Using two of the most recent European seismic databases (AHEAD and EMEC), this paper employs GIS spatial analysis (kernel density estimation) to explore the representativeness and reliability of data captured for late medieval earthquakes. We identify those regions where the occurrence of earthquakes is significantly higher or lower than expected values and investigate possible reasons for these discrepancies. The nature of the seismic events themselves, the methodology employed during catalogue compilation and the availability of medieval written records are all briefly explored.

Citation

Forlin, P., Gerrard, C., & Petley, D. (2016). Exploring representativeness and reliability for late medieval earthquakes in Europe. Natural Hazards, 84(3), 1625-1636. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-016-2502-y

Journal Article Type Article
Acceptance Date Jul 28, 2016
Online Publication Date Aug 6, 2016
Publication Date Aug 1, 2016
Deposit Date Jul 28, 2016
Publicly Available Date Mar 28, 2024
Journal Natural Hazards
Print ISSN 0921-030X
Electronic ISSN 1573-0840
Publisher Springer
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 84
Issue 3
Pages 1625-1636
DOI https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-016-2502-y

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Copyright Statement
This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution,
and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the
source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.






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