D.E. Over
Contingency, causation, and adaptive inference
Over, D.E.; Green, D.W.
Authors
D.W. Green
Abstract
In contingency judgment tasks involving 2 event types, individuals weight the a and b cells of a 2 X 2 contingency table more than the c and d cells. Some theorists have argued that they can provide normative justifications For this weighting and that the weighting reflects simple heuristics that are adaptive in the real world. The authors show that, to avoid error, individual judgments about real contingencies should be more subtle than these supposedly adaptive heuristics allow.
Citation
Over, D., & Green, D. (2001). Contingency, causation, and adaptive inference. Psychological Review, 108(3), 682-684. https://doi.org/10.1037/0033-295x.108.3.682
Journal Article Type | Article |
---|---|
Publication Date | 2001-07 |
Deposit Date | Jan 22, 2009 |
Journal | Psychological Review |
Print ISSN | 0033-295X |
Publisher | American Psychological Association |
Peer Reviewed | Peer Reviewed |
Volume | 108 |
Issue | 3 |
Pages | 682-684 |
DOI | https://doi.org/10.1037/0033-295x.108.3.682 |
Keywords | Covariation, Information, Integration, Judgements. |
Publisher URL | http://content.apa.org/journals/rev/108/3/682 |
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