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The spillover effects among offshore and onshore RMB exchange rate markets, RMB Hibor market

Zhong, Yonghong; I.D. Harris, Richard; Deng, Shuhong

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Authors

Yonghong Zhong

Richard I.D. Harris

Shuhong Deng



Contributors

Abstract

We investigate the return and volatility spillover effects among the onshore and offshore RMB foreign exchange markets, offshore RMB money market before and after the foreign exchange rate reform on August 11, 2015. We found that “8.11” exchange reform significantly affects the interactions in CNY, CNH and CNH-Hibor three markets. The two-way CNY-to-CNH return spillovers became one-way and in the opposite direction after the reform. The Granger causality test shows price-guide impacts in pairs of CNY, CNH and CNH-Hibor were significantly different after the “8.11” reform. The pricing power of RMB spot exchange rate has been passed from onshore market to offshore market. Meanwhile, the unidirectional volatility spillover from CNH to CNY has changed to bidirectional volatility spillover between CNH and CNY markets. Meanwhile, after the “8.11” reform, the fluctuation of CNH-Hibor impacts the volatility of onshore and offshore exchange rates significantly, CNH-Hibor played a leading role in onshore-offshore foreign exchange and offshore money market interactions. These results are critical for Chinese policymakers and contribute to China’s foreign exchange rate reform.

Citation

Zhong, Y., I.D. Harris, R., & Deng, S. (2020). The spillover effects among offshore and onshore RMB exchange rate markets, RMB Hibor market. Quantitative Finance and Economics, 4(2), 294-309. https://doi.org/10.3934/qfe.2020014

Journal Article Type Article
Acceptance Date Apr 20, 2020
Online Publication Date May 6, 2020
Publication Date 2020
Deposit Date Jun 25, 2020
Publicly Available Date Mar 28, 2024
Journal Quantitative Finance and Economics
Publisher AIMS Press
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 4
Issue 2
Pages 294-309
DOI https://doi.org/10.3934/qfe.2020014
Public URL https://durham-repository.worktribe.com/output/1299091

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