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Calibrating with Multiple Criteria: A Demonstration of Dominance

Badham, Jennifer; Jansen, Chipp; Shardlow, Nigel; French, Thomas

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Authors

Chipp Jansen

Nigel Shardlow

Thomas French



Abstract

Pattern oriented modelling (POM) is an approach to calibration or validation that assesses a model using multiple weak patterns. We extend the concept of POM, using dominance to objectively identify the best parameter candidates. The TELL ME agent-based model is used to demonstrate the approach. This model simulates personal decisions to adopt protective behaviour during an influenza epidemic. The model fit is assessed by the size and timing of maximum behaviour adoption, as well as the more usual criterion of minimising mean squared error between actual and estimated behaviour. The rigorous approach to calibration supported explicit trading off between these criteria, and ultimately demonstrated that there were significant flaws in the model structure.

Citation

Badham, J., Jansen, C., Shardlow, N., & French, T. (2017). Calibrating with Multiple Criteria: A Demonstration of Dominance. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 20(2), Article 11. https://doi.org/10.18564/jasss.3212

Journal Article Type Article
Acceptance Date Sep 12, 2016
Online Publication Date Mar 31, 2017
Publication Date 2017-03
Deposit Date Sep 29, 2021
Publicly Available Date Sep 29, 2021
Journal Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation
Print ISSN 1460-7425
Publisher SimSoc Consortium
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 20
Issue 2
Article Number 11
DOI https://doi.org/10.18564/jasss.3212
Publisher URL https://www.jasss.org/20/2/11.html

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