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Everyone likes a winner : an empirical test of the effect of electoral closeness on turnout in a context of expressive voting.

Ashworth, J. and Geys, B. and Heyndels, B. (2006) 'Everyone likes a winner : an empirical test of the effect of electoral closeness on turnout in a context of expressive voting.', Public choice., 128 (3-4). pp. 383-405.

Abstract

Under instrumental voting closer elections are expected to have higher turnout. Under expressive voting, however, turnout may increase with decreasing closeness when voters have a preference for winners. An empirical test using data on Belgian municipal elections supports this. We find that turnout reaches a local maximum when the largest party in the election obtains just over 52% of the seats and then falls (supporting the “instrumental” closeness-argument). There is, however, another turning point: the presence of a highly dominating party (receiving at least two-thirds of the votes) stimulates turnout despite the fact that dominance implies lower closeness.

Item Type:Article
Full text:Full text not available from this repository.
Publisher Web site:http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11127-005-9006-8
Record Created:20 Apr 2010 15:35
Last Modified:19 Jan 2011 16:32

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