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Democracy and its discontents : understanding Kenya’s 2013 elections.

Willis, Justin and Cheesman, Nic and Lynch, Gabrielle (2014) 'Democracy and its discontents : understanding Kenya’s 2013 elections.', Journal of Eastern African studies., 8 (1). pp. 2-24.

Abstract

In the months leading up to Kenya's general election in March 2013, there was much concern – both within Kenya itself and internationally – that political competition would trigger a fresh wave of ethnic violence. However, the 2013 elections passed off largely peacefully, despite an unexpected presidential result and fact that the losing candidate, Raila Odinga, appealed the outcome to the Supreme Court. This article argues that Kenya avoided political unrest as a result of four interconnected processes. A dramatic political realignment brought former rivals together and gave them an incentive to diffuse ethnic tensions; a pervasive ‘peace narrative’ delegitimized political activity likely to lead to political instability; partial democratic reforms conferred new legitimacy on the electoral and political system; and a new constitution meant that many voters who ‘lost’ nationally in the presidential election ‘won’ in local contests. This election thus provides two important lessons for the democratization literature. First, processes of gradual reform may generate more democratic political systems in the long-run, but in the short-run they can empower the political establishment. Second, sacrificing justice on the altar of stability risks a ‘negative peace’ that may be associated with an increased sense of marginalization and exclusion among some communities – raising the prospects for unrest in the future.

Item Type:Article
Keywords:Kenya, Elections, Democratization, Constitutional and institutional reform, Peace and justice.
Full text:(AM) Accepted Manuscript
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Status:Peer-reviewed
Publisher Web site:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17531055.2013.874105
Publisher statement:This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis Group in Journal of Eastern African studies on 28/01/2014, available online at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17531055.2013.874105
Date accepted:29 November 2013
Date deposited:22 May 2014
Date of first online publication:28 January 2014
Date first made open access:No date available

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