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Application of receiver operating characteristic curve for pipeline reliability analysis

Tee, F.K.; Khan, L.R.; Coolen-Maturi, T.

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Authors

F.K. Tee

L.R. Khan



Abstract

Structural reliability analysis of buried pipeline systems is one of the fundamental issues for water and wastewater asset managers. Measuring the accuracy of a reliability analysis or a failure prediction technique is an effective approach to enhancing its applicability and provides guidance on selection of reliability or failure prediction methods. The determination of threshold value for a particular pipe failure criterion provides useful information on reliability analysis. However, this threshold value is not always known. In this article, receiver operating characteristic curve has been applied where empirical and nonparametric predictive inference techniques are used to evaluate the accuracy of pipeline reliability analysis and to predict the failure threshold value. Multi-failure conditions, namely, corrosion-induced deflection, buckling, wall thrust and bending stress have been assessed in this article. It is hoped that choosing the optimal operating point on the receiver operating characteristic curve, which involves both maintenance and financial issues, can be ideally implemented by combining the receiver operating characteristic analysis with a formal risk–cost management of underground pipelines.

Citation

Tee, F., Khan, L., & Coolen-Maturi, T. (2015). Application of receiver operating characteristic curve for pipeline reliability analysis. Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability, 229(3), 181-192. https://doi.org/10.1177/1748006x15571115

Journal Article Type Article
Acceptance Date Dec 22, 2014
Online Publication Date Feb 23, 2015
Publication Date Jun 1, 2015
Deposit Date Jan 4, 2015
Publicly Available Date Mar 28, 2024
Journal Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability
Print ISSN 1748-006X
Electronic ISSN 1748-0078
Publisher SAGE Publications
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 229
Issue 3
Pages 181-192
DOI https://doi.org/10.1177/1748006x15571115
Keywords Receiver operating characteristic curve, Nonparametric predictive inference, Reliability analysis, Underground pipelines, Corrosion.

Files

Accepted Journal Article (484 Kb)
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Copyright Statement
Tee, F.K., Khan, L.R. & Coolen-Maturi, T. (2015). Application of receiver operating characteristic curve for pipeline reliability analysis. Proceedings of the institution of Mechanical Engineers, part O journal of risk and reliability 229(3): 181-192. Copyright © 2015 IMechE. Reprinted by permission of SAGE Publications.





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