We use cookies to ensure that we give you the best experience on our website. By continuing to browse this repository, you give consent for essential cookies to be used. You can read more about our Privacy and Cookie Policy.

Durham Research Online
You are in:

Integration of Gaussian processes and particle swarm optimization for very-short-term wind speed forecasting in smart power.

Alamaniotis, M. and Karagiannis, G. (2017) 'Integration of Gaussian processes and particle swarm optimization for very-short-term wind speed forecasting in smart power.', International journal of monitoring and surveillance technologies research., 5 (3). pp. 1-14.


This article describes how the integration of renewable energy in the power grid is a critical issue in order to realize a smart grid infrastructure. To that end, intelligent methods that monitor and currently predict the values of critical variables of renewable energy are essential. With respect to wind power, such variable is the wind speed given that it is of great interest to efficient schedule operation of a wind farm. In this article, a new methodology for predicting wind speed is presented for very short-term prediction horizons. The methodology integrates multiple Gaussian process regressors (GPR) via the adoption of an optimization problem whose solution is given by the particle swarm optimization algorithm. The optimized framework is utilized for the average hourly wind speed prediction for a prediction horizon of six hours ahead. Results demonstrate the ability of the methodology in accurately forecasting the wind speed. Furthermore, obtained forecasts are compared with those taken from single Gaussian process regressors as well from the integration of the same multiple GPR using a genetic algorithm.

Item Type:Article
Full text:Publisher-imposed embargo
(AM) Accepted Manuscript
File format - PDF (Copyright agreement prohibits open access to the full-text)
Full text:(VoR) Version of Record
Download PDF
Publisher Web site:
Publisher statement:This paper appears in International Journal of Monitoring and Surveillance Technologies Research authored by Miltiadis Alamaniotis and Georgios Karagiannis Copyright 2017, IGI Global, Posted by permission of the publisher.
Date accepted:06 December 2017
Date deposited:07 December 2017
Date of first online publication:July 2017
Date first made open access:No date available

Save or Share this output

Look up in GoogleScholar