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Nativist policy : the comparative effects of Trumpian politics on migration decisions.

Duch, Raymond M. and Laroze, Denise and Reinprecht, Constantin and Robinson, Thomas S. (2022) 'Nativist policy : the comparative effects of Trumpian politics on migration decisions.', Political science research and methods., 10 (1). pp. 171-187.


Firms in the USA rely on highly skilled immigrants, particularly in the science and engineering sectors. Yet, the recent politics of immigration marks a substantial change to US immigration policy. We implement a conjoint experiment that isolates the causal effect of nativist, anti-immigrant, pronouncements on where skilled potential-migrants choose to immigrate to. While these policies have a significantly negative effect on the destination choices of Chilean and UK student subjects, they have little effect on the choices of Indian and Chinese student subjects. These results are confirmed through an unobtrusive test of subjects’ general immigration destination preferences. Moreover, there is some evidence that the negative effect of these nativist policies are particularly salient for those who self-identify with the Left.

Item Type:Article
Full text:(AM) Accepted Manuscript
Available under License - Creative Commons Attribution Non-commercial No Derivatives.
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Publisher statement:This article has been published in a revised form in Political science research and methods This version is published under a Creative Commons CC-BY-NC-ND. No commercial re-distribution or re-use allowed. Derivative works cannot be distributed. © The European Political Science Association 2020.
Date accepted:29 June 2020
Date deposited:02 September 2020
Date of first online publication:September 2020
Date first made open access:16 September 2020

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